Wednesday, September 16, 2020

 SOUTH ASIA ANALYSIS GROUP

Minorities in India :

Paper No. 6682                         Dated 16-Sep-2020

By Kazi Anwarul Masud- (Former Secretary and Ambassador of Bangladesh.)

Throughout history minorities have faced with discriminations, of different forms, based on language, clans, tribes, and most importantly religion.

Intra-religion  conflicts have been known throughout history. Famous are the conflicts among the Christians-the Protestants  and the Catholics; Muslims and the Christians; are the famous conflicts based on religion. Intra-Christians is the most famous one is the revolt against the Pope by Martin Luther giving rise to Catholics and non-Catholics. Other factors emerged to divide the Christianity like the annulments sought by King Henry the Eighth from the Pope revolting in the separation of the English branch of Christianity. Most important however was the Spanish Inquisition (1478-1834) which saw the most brutal killing of human beings by other human beings.

Editor Edward Rayan of Enclopedia Britannica wrote extensively “Spanish Inquisition, (1478–1834), judicial institution ostensibly established to combat heresy in Spain. In practice, the Spanish Inquisition served to consolidate power in the monarchy of the newly unified Spanish kingdom, but it achieved that end through infamously brutal methods.

When did the Spanish Inquisition end?      The Spanish queen regent María Cristina de Borbón issued a decree abolishing the Spanish Inquisition on July 15, 1834. The papal Inquisition—founded in 1542 and formally known as the Congregation of the Holy Roman and Universal Inquisition, or Holy Office—was reorganized by Pope Paul VI.  Pope Lucius III declared the first inquisition in 1184, nearly 300 years before the creation of the Spanish Inquisition, and the use of torture was authorized for inquisitors in 1252. As the Reconquista brought the territories of Moorish Spain under the control of Christian kings, many Jews in these areas declared their conversion to Christianity in an attempt to escape persecution.     

The medieval inquisition had played a considerable role in Christian Spain during the 13th century, Over centuries, the Jewish community in Spain had flourished and grown in numbers and influence, though anti-Semitism had surfaced from time to time. After Aragon and Castile were united by the marriage of Ferdinand and Isabella (1469), the Jews were denounced as a danger to the existence of Christian Spain... The Spanish crown now had in its possession a weapon too precious to give up, however, and the efforts of the pope to limit the powers of the Inquisition were without avail...      At the end of the 15th century ` Ferdinand and Isabella issued an edict giving Spanish Jews the choice of exile or baptism; as a result, more than 160,000 Jews were expelled from Spain. Ryan The).”

Linguistic differences not only led to dissension among the people of the same region but also led to the creation of a new state.  BANGLADESH was created mainly because Urdu and Bengali were separate language but also had separate script.   The languages were so different that one could not the read or write the other. But then politico-economic reasons were there too. Bangladesh felt that this part of the country was being milked for the benefit of the other.

Then again linguistic differences   are not uncommon in different countries of the world. There are 22 major languages in India, written in 13 different scripts, with over 720 dialects. The official Indian languages are Hindi (with approximately 420 million speakers) and English, which is also widely spoken. In addition, several states in India have their own official languages, which are usually only spoken particular areas. As per 2011 Census of India languages by highest number of speakers are as follows: Hindi, Bengali, Marathi, Telugu, Tamil, Gujarati, Urdu, Kannada, Odia, and Malayalam. 22 languages are accepted by Indian Constitution. In Belgium spoken languages are—French and Dutch.

In short differences in languages do not constitute a government or a state. Nor does ethnicity. What makes a nation then? Britannica defines a nation state as---- Nation-state, a territorially bounded sovereign polity—i.e., a state —that is ruled in the name of a community of citizens who identify themselves as a nation. The legitimacy of a nation-state’s rule over a territory and over the population inhabiting it stems from the right of a core national group within the state (which may include all or only some of its citizens) to self-determination.  So why religion was the main determinant in the Partition of British ruled Indian sub-continent? What caused was the predominance of Hindus over Muslim population in India? Was the political ambition   of the leaders of Indian Congress Party and the Muslim League?   Questions arose what was the population of British India in 1947. British India had a population of ~299 million (1941: 292,164,791), the Native states ~90 million (1941: 88,167,852), French India 0.225 million, Portuguese India 0.5 million, the Dominion of India started with a population of ~230 millionwhile East Bengal / East Pakistan / Bangladesh picked up ~40 million, formerly British Indian subjectswith the rest ending up in West Pakistan, though there was quite a bit of movement, and annexation of territory and peoples soon after independence. 

There was a Census in 1941 before India’s Independence , when India’s population   was enumerated as 31,86,60,000 . Govt of India made first Census in 1951 when India’s her  population was 36,10,88,000 an increase of 13.31% in Ten years or an average increase of 1.33126 % per year or 2.986 % between 1941 and 1947 .So it could be estimated as 32,81,76,000 . So Muslim population was considerably lower than the Hindu population leading to a conclusion that Muslims would always be under the rule of Hindus. Pandit Jawaharlal  Nehru was determined to be the first Prime Minister of India. Pandit Nehru and Sardar Patel were opposed to Mahatma Gandhi’s reported offer to Mohammed Ali for any position in an undivided India- Governor Genera, Prime Minister or whatever he chose. Dalai Lama who is dictating his autobiography is reported to have blamed Pandit Nehru for the partition of India.   

Congress Party leader Man Shankar Ayyar (It was not Nehru who cut Jinnah’s chances of becoming PM—August 17 2020) as initially claimed by Dalai lama in his autography (but later quickly withdrawn). Ayyar added “since almost the morrow of Muslim League’s resolution of March 23 1940 the Congress had been attempting to persuade Stanley Wolpert in his biography of Jinnah, wrote that Jinnah and his League pressed the Pakistan demand as the Congress was more than willing to ensure that, to avoid partition, post-Independence, the reins of power could be passed to the hands of Jinnah and his League…It was not Nehru but Jinnah who rejected Gandhi-ji's offer. As Wolpert puts it, "Such an offer might have tempted Jinnah if he believed in or trusted Gandhi". He did not. Instead, as he told the press, "Mr. Gandhi's conception of 'Independent India' is basically different from ours", adding, "Mr. Gandhi by independence means Congress raj. Mani Shankar Ayyar concluded “therefore, suggest to a new generation of students born decades after these events that Nehru opposed Gandhi-ji's suggestion because he, Nehru, was hungering to become PM is both cruel and unfair and totally unhistorical”. 

Given this background of two divisions-Muslim League and Congress- had already been created defacto it is pointless to bring about the Hindu-Muslim divide after decades of majority-minority rule practiced throughout the world despite the unfairness it entails. Neil Ferguson used the words “historical evidence of technological innovation, religious effects, and economic differences, among other factors, to explain why the West, and Western Europe especially, was the dominant force in the world for centuries” He added that The West used to be hugely powerful. That was not because of chance. It was because of distinct traits that made the West more innovative and intrepid than the rest of the world”.   Stanley Wilbert gave credit to colonialism , “despite its occasional brutality”, was largely beneficial because it brought civilization and the attendant advances to areas of the world that were still living in barbaric versions of the Stone Age.    Colonialism, made possible by the fact that the West was more powerful than “the rest” is what led to the rest of the world getting to experience the benefits of Western civilization.  

It is debatable: what factors led to  Narendra Modi’s victory in the elections: is it his muscularity vis-à-vis China and Pakistan or the benefits the common people got from his domestic reforms or was it his Hindutva philosophy which he has been preaching as a “ pracharak” from his young age or the amalgamation of all these factors.  Sashi Tharor Congress Party leader, explains that   Hinduism is a rich religion brimming with multifariousness.  As opposed to the Semitic religions – Judaism, Christianity and Islam, the most well-known faiths in the Western world have some beliefs in common: every one of the three, for instance, accept that there’s just a single God and that he’s an existent and immaterial being. A genuine devotee must acknowledge that basic tenet.   

Hinduism, with regards to the mentioned tenet, is a totally contrasting religion. In opposition to their monotheistic partners, Hindus affirm the existence of several divine beings. These include Ganesh, the remover of deterrents, and Shiva, the destroyer. There is likewise a wide cluster of Holy Scriptures like the Bhagavad Gita and the Rigveda. Each Hindu is allowed to pick which gods she adores, which writings she upholds and when and where she supplicates.    That makes Hinduism a profoundly individual-specific faith that differs from one adherent to another”. In other words Hindus are freerer than others in the choice of their God.

A contrary argument could be confusion which more often than not leads to physical confrontation particularly in plutocratic societies. Imagine a household where husband and wife pray to different Gods. Hinduism generally regarded every other religion and venerated their consecrated writings and welcomed Buddhism and Sikhism as coming from the same roots.

 The present scenario of slaughtering Beef eating Muslims and the anti-Muslim riots being read and seen on television screen give another picture. Communal fault-lines are not new in the country. When India was partitioned in 1947 — leading to the creation of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan — tens of millions of Muslims chose a secular India as their homeland; they were betting on a more promising future in a country that enshrined religious   equality into its constitution. But Hindu nationalists have long claimed a greater moral right over the nation and have questioned the patriotism of Indian Muslims. And the prejudice is no longer just rhetorical. It has turned into violent hatred that has spilled onto the streets of the country.     The shift in India’s attitude towards Muslims has been there for centuries ever since the Muslims started invading India. This is the first time that Hindu population have voted BJP as a single majority political party with a group of people capable and willing to implement an anti-Muslim agenda.  Such activities are in violation on the Constitution contrary to the oath taken by the Council of Ministers, and harmful to the image of India carved out by the predecessors are of little importance when President Trump at Allahabad meeting termed it as the internal affairs of India

Gone with the wind when Pandit Nehru, President Nkrumah, Gamal Abdul Nasser dared to clear a path of Non-Aligned Movement when the US was busy with forming NATO, SEATO, CENTO and other alliances to guard the Russian encirclement   of East Europe. Indian Congress Party leader Sashi Tharoor in his book Why I am a Hindu states “In 1989, the BJP adopted Hindutva as its official ideology.   The BJP or Indian People’s Party has been ruling since 2014. From the beginning of their assuming of power, the nation has seen a flare-up of insularity which would’ve been incomprehensible to its Hindu ancestors. The BJP is focused on Hindutva, signifying “Hinduness.”” Tharoor traced the thought to a previously developed one of the mid-twentieth century.

At the point when India’s foremost sovereignty leader Mahatma Gandhi advocated for solidarity between the future sovereignty’s different religious societies, he experienced harsh criticism from various commentator   one being  Vinayak  Savarkar, a government official, and essayist who promoted the idea of Hinduness with his 1923 book Essentials of Hindutva.    Savarkar’s seminar in Hindu patriotism asserted that Hindus were the earliest occupants of India. That, he surmised, implied that India was by definition the place of habitation of the Hindus – a controversial move which right away proscribed other different religious faiths from Savarkar’s idea of citizenship. In 1939, a conservative mastermind called MS Golwalkar expounded upon that line of thought in We, or Our Nationhood Defined.    Golwalkar asserted that nationality was dictated by culture as opposed to geology. India, obviously, was socially Hindu from his point of view. A Muslim may live inside the nation’s physical territory, yet she wasn’t genuinely Indian since she didn’t partake in or identify with Hindu culture.   That makes the BJP a great deal like a  fundamentalist crusades. Like its partners in different parts of the world, its stubborn and discriminatory assertions about social personality sets up a precedence for an institutionalized abuse of minority groups.

Be that as it may, here’s the Catch 22: Hinduism is profoundly dedicated to a reverence for other faiths and religious inclusiveness, putting Hinduness up against an indispensable part of its own legacy.  Can one find similarity with the Nazi belief of superiority over other creed if one were to go with Golwalker’s assertion that   that Nazi Germany’s institutionalized extermination of Europe’s Jews was a case of “race pride at its best,” something from which he trusted India would do well to learn?      

 

            
 
 
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Tuesday, September 1, 2020

 

SOUTH ASIA ANALYSIS GROUP

Can India be the Leader of South Asia?

Paper No. 6673                      Dated 31-Aug-2020
By Kazi Anwarul Masud (Former Secretary & Ambassador of Bangladesh.)
 
Several trends of thought are circulating in India today, prominent
among those are, whether India should be the leader of South Asia or
look inwards towards more development –both economically, culturally,
and militarily to face the growing threat of Chinese soft and hard
power in the region. The pressure is increasing due to tussle with
Nepal, China’s hands of friendship extended towards Bangladesh through
donation of coronavirus equipment and emphasis on infra-structural
projects.  
 
Long considered  as a kind of “hinterland” by India
Chinese “intrusion” into South Asia and ASEAN countries are troubling
Indian policy planners. A critic (India’s New Opportunity to Lead
South Asia THE DIPLOMAT    The Modi government should look at China’s
‘One Belt, One Road’ initiative from a broader perspective.      By
Sourabh Gupta      July 10, 2015In February 2014, at the 17th round of
Special Representative talks in New Delhi)), Beijing formally invited
India to join its ambitious Maritime Silk Road (MSR) project. The
Narendra Modi government should aim to make China’s activities in
South Asia complementary to its own neighborhood policy. It should
draw up an integrated view of how the various proposals under the
rubric of China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ initiative—the MSR, the
Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar (BCIM) corridor, and rail, road and
port development in Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Myanmar—can be
harmonized to serve both India’s peaceful rise within its extended
Asian neighborhood and Asia’s peaceful rise to the forefront of world
affairs.          
 
At a time when New Delhi lacks the funds—and perhaps
the intent—to underwrite the modernization programs of its common
neighborhood, it must not be seen to undermine an initiative that it
does not at any rate possess the wherewithal to subvert. ‘One Belt,
One Road’ is the centerpiece of the Xi Jinping administration’s “new
type of international relations” concept—an imposing win–win scheme
that aspires to embed the China Dream within a neighborhood community
of common destiny. Co-opting ‘One Belt, One Road’ in South Asia will
liberate New Delhi from its penchant to oscillate between viewing the
subcontinent as its exclusive sphere of influence and longing to vault
over the neighborhood to pursue flashier adventures abroad.
 
Asia’s seas were a genuine free sea. China’s outward foot forward is
not bounded by Asia but also extends towards Africa and Latin America.
Chinese attempts appear to challenge the hegemony of the US enjoyed
since the end of the Second World War. US launch of Marshall Plan and
reconstruction of Europe (not the present European Union) and the
creation of rule based international financial institutions, NATO and
the appeal of democracy to the members of the club appear to be
threatened.  “Unfortunately” considering the present situation Trump
administration’s anti-China policies implementation of “America First”
declared on the day of taking oath as President is one of the results
of that policy.  
 
Singaporean Prime Minister voiced concern    over
the US-China rivalry (The endangered Asian Century          America,
China, and the Perils of Confrontation  By Lee Hsien Loong
July/August 2020).    He wrote “Asia has prospered because Pax
Americana, which has held since the end of World War II, provided a
favorable strategic context. But now, the troubled U.S.-Chinese
relationship raises profound questions about Asia’s future and the
shape of the emerging international order. Southeast Asian countries,
including Singapore, are especially concerned, as they live at the
intersection of the interests of various major powers and must avoid
being caught in the middle or forced into invidious choices.    
 
The status quo in Asia must change. But will the new configuration enable
further success or bring dangerous instability? That depends on the
choices that the United States and China make, separately and
together. The two powers must work out a modus vivendi that will be
competitive in some areas without allowing rivalry to poison
cooperation in others”.    Unsurprisingly Singaporean Prime Minister
sees as  the  United States as a resident power. At the same time,
China is a reality on the doorstep. Asian countries do not want to be
forced to choose between the two. And if either attempts to force such
a choice—if Washington tries to contain China’s rise or Beijing seeks
to build an exclusive sphere of influence in Asia—they will begin a
course of confrontation which could land the  Asian century in
jeopardy Lee credits the US for  Asia’s stability and prosperity and
credited the  United States for championing  an open, integrated, and
rules-based global order and providing  a security umbrella under
which regional countries could cooperate and peacefully compete.
 
 As Washington promoted free trade and opened U.S. markets to the world,
Asian trade with the United States grew. Lee considers    two pivotal
events in the 1970s shifted Pax Americana in Asia into a new phase:
the secret visit to China in 1971 by Henry Kissinger, then the U.S.
national security adviser, which laid the basis for U.S.-Chinese
rapprochement after decades of hostility, and the launch, in 1978, of
Deng’s program of “reform and opening up,” which allowed China’s
economy to take off. By the end of the decade, economic barriers were
coming down, and international trade was growing rapidly. After the
Vietnam War and the war in Cambodia ended, Vietnam and the other
countries of Indochina were able to focus their energies and resources
on economic development, and they started catching up with the rest of
Asia”.  Lee Hsien Loog as an important member of ASEAN adds as
expected he pointed the importance of ASEAN and of the US and of China
in the prosperity of the region. As China’s stake in the region has
grown, Lee Tsien Loong pointed out China’s launch of  its own
initiatives, including the Belt and Road Initiative and the Asian
Infrastructure Investment Bank. These have helped deepen China’s
engagement with its neighbors and, of course, increased its influence.
 
 But because the regional architecture is open, China’s influence
is not exclusive. The United States remains an important participant,
underpinning regional security and stability and enhancing its
economic engagement.  ASEAN believes that such a network of
connections creates a more robust framework for cooperation and more
space to advance its members’ collective interests internationally”.
  Warning bells have also been sounded in the US against decoupling of
US-China cultural relationship. Minxin Pei an eminent political
commentator is of the view that in the long run cutting cultural,
educational and journalistic ties would harm the US more that than
China because American soft and hard power which had attracted US-Euro
and newly freed colonized countries had an attraction that MAO-Xi Ping
model, with the exception of Deng Xiao-Ping “go slow” policy, could
not have been chosen by the freed people after the ignominy suffered
at the hands of the colonizers.  In recent time US Vice President
Michael Pence had publicly upbraided  China for laying “debt Trap” in
financing Belt and Road schemes. Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port and
Laotian Railways improvement projects are proven examples. An August
19th report by a group of American reporters revealed that officials
in Beijing were kept in the dark for weeks about the potential
devastation of the virus by local officials in central China.      
 
The report concluded that officials in the city of Wuhan and in Hubei
Province, where the outbreak began late last year, tried to hide
information from China’s central leadership. This perhaps prompted
President Trump to say on July 4th speech at the White House that
“China’s secrecy, deceptions and cover-up” enabled the pandemic.
Secretary of State Mike Pompe insisted the administration was “telling
the truth every day” about “the Communist cover-up of that virus.”
 
The truth of the matter, whether China deliberately the lid on the
escape of the disease, voluntarily or through confusion depends on the
teller. It is also not certain whether WHO’s connivance in keeping the
oncoming pandemic was deliberate or due to pressure from China. Trump
administration is convinced is the complicity of WHO in not letting
the world know when it should have been. Suspension of money from WHO,
withdrawal of membership, and other punitive actions are indicative of
the US conviction of WHO’s complicity. The reason of hiding the truth
from the Central Committee is obvious. In an article published by some
US reporters on Aug. 19, 2020 it was revealed that “    Officials in
Beijing were kept in the dark for weeks about the potential
devastation of the virus by local officials in central China,
according to American officials familiar with a new internal report by
U.S. intelligence agencies.    The report concluded that officials in
the city of Wuhan and in Hubei Province, where the outbreak began late
last year, tried to hide information from China’s central leadership”.
In China the rule of law is more imperial than a court process where
the judge and the jury decide on the fate of the accused. More likely
the accused is shot to death before a charge sheet has been framed.
China is a populous country (not to be equated with Indian justice system). 
 
 Former Foreign Secretary Shayam Saran in an interview
expressed the view that one of China’s motives for the intrusions in
Ladakh could be tactical i.e. to alter the alignment of the Line of
Actual Control, another was undoubtedly to show the world that China
is the big power in Asia and, simultaneously, cut India to size and
put it in its place.    Whereas Deng Xiaoping told Rajiv Gandhi in
1988 that the 21st century would be India and China’s century, the
Chinese leadership of today believes that it is  China’s century alone
and there is limited or perhaps no room for India alongside the
expanding growth of China.    Saran said that one option which India
could have exercised earlier on was a quick and focused counter by
intruding into Chinese territory at a point along the LAC where India
has a military advantage. That would have given India bargaining space
and provided a quid pro quo to facilitate a Chinese withdrawal.  He
added that although the present intrusions are limited to Ladakh,
Saran said it’s possible there could be other intrusions along the
rest of the 3,488 km border in Arunachal or in the central sector. He
also accepted that if India were to accept the Chinese intrusions in
Ladakh as a fait accompli there is no guarantee China won’t attempt to
repeat them a little while later. In other words, the present
intrusions cannot be seen as a one-off. They could be part of a
recurring pattern.    Saran also held that just because military
level talks have not produced satisfactory results up till now is not
a reason for discontinuing them and seeking to negotiate at the
ministerial level. This was the point at which he counseled patience.
 
 Questioned about the Chief of Defence Staff’s comment on Monday
that “a military option … is on the table”, Saran said it was possible
that this is intended as a message to the Chinese to encourage Beijing
to be accommodating in forthcoming talks. However, he pointed out that
exercising a military option could easily lead to conflict which is
likely to include the deaths of soldiers.          On Pakistan’s
reaction to a possible India-China conflict Saran said that Pakistan
would look to exploit the situation to its advantage. At one point he
also talked about how Ladakh is a part of India where the country
faces a two-front threat.    He made it clear that whilst India has
America’s verbal support it is extremely unlikely that America will
fight our battles for us. If it came to conflict we could receive
American equipment but he did not think there was any further support
that India  could expect.        At a time when New Delhi lacks the
funds—and perhaps the intent—to underwrite the modernization programs
of its common neighborhood, it must not be seen to undermine an
initiative that it does not at any rate possess the wherewithal to
subvert. ‘One Belt, One Road’ is the centerpiece of the Xi Jinping
administration’s ‘new type of international relations  concept.
 
Co-opting ‘One Belt, One Road’ in South Asia will afford some freedom
to  New Delhi from oscillating  between viewing the subcontinent as
its exclusive sphere of influence and longing to vault over the
neighborhood to pursue flashier adventures abroad.    A 21st century
infrastructure project geared to connect the Asian heartland to its
hinterland and beyond might yet revive a set of loose integrative
norms, which can foster principles of order and self-restraint in East
Asia and South Asia.  Narendra      Modi, unrestricted by the blinkers
of his elitist predecessors, should exercise his abundant leadership
qualities to walk India and South Asia confidently down the  path of
prosperity and equal sovereignty.
 
 
           
 
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